Titlebook: Experts and Consensus in Social Science; Carlo Martini,Marcel Boumans Book 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014 Applyin

Impacted

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glisten

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Model-Based Consensusexpert on the basis of his or her knowledge and ability to judge relevant uncertainties. The measurement of the performance of the experts is based on the expert’s assessment of “seed variables”. These performances are used to determine the weights of the expert’s judgments in the aggregation of the

車床

Spangle

Clumsy

Clumsy

The Expert Economist in Times of Uncertaintycent important contributions. The article identifies the main conceptual dilemma associated with the social scientific study of experts, stemming from the emphasis in either the objective or the relational dimension of the phenomenon of expertise. In this article the attributional or relational aspe

輕觸

Validating Expert Judgment with the Classical Modelince publication of the TU Delft expert judgment database in 2008, various authors have attempted to use this data base for cross validation, splitting the seed variables into training sets and test sets. These attempts are reviewed. Many pitfalls and biases in cross validation efforts are identifie

惹人反感

The Truth About Accuracythe term, evaluative judgments about them. We look at operational accuracy as a desirable and evaluable quality of the outcomes and explore how the concepts of accuracy and precision, on the basis of insights borrowed from pragmatics and measurement theory, can be seen to do useful work in epistemol

反饋

Expert Advisers: Why Economic Forecasters Can Be Useful Even When They Are Wrongent reached by those who have studied a topic in great detail. On the other hand, does the very same specialization that confers expert status also mean that the group is unable to consider all alternatives equally? In other words, do the shared analytic models and other practices that expert groups