Titlebook: Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making; Philippe C. Baveye,Magdeline Laba,Jaroslav Mysiak Conference

Eclampsia

Agent-based modeling of socio-economic processes related to the environment: Example of land-use chato deal with socio-economic aspects of environmental issues. An underlying theme is the divide between qualitative and quantitative approaches in the social sciences, though the chapter is also aimed at presenting agent-based modeling to those accustomed to mathematical modeling approaches.

CRACY

PRE

Model calibration/parameter estimation techniques and conceptual model errorlly the complexity of a physical system. The effect of model error on model predictions is not random but systematic, therefore, it does not necessarily have any probabilistic properties that can be easily exploited in the construction of a model performance criterion. The effect of model error vari

inquisitive

User subjectivity in Monte Carlo modelling of pesticide exposureput parameters and to estimate the confidence that should be assigned to modelling results. The approach typically involves running a deterministic model repeatedly for a large number of input values sampled from statistical distributions. The present chapter summarizes the results of three differen

Nonconformist

Recommended practices in global sensitivity analysishniques for general use in modelling, (ii) the elementary effect method for factor screening for factors-rich models and (iii) Monte Carlo filtering. In the present work we try to put the practices into the context of their usage. We start by describing the present debate on the use of scientific mo

ARCHE

Predictive uncertainty assessment in real time flood forecastingmeant by predictive uncertainty, the role and the importance of estimating predictive uncertainty within the context of flood management and in particular flood emergency management, is here discussed. Furthermore, the role of model and parameter uncertainty is presented together with alternative ap

得罪

小爭吵

Communicating scientific uncertainty for decision making about CO2 storagerage projects. Fossil fuel based power plants can produce energy at competitive prices with other energy sources even if equipped with capture facilities. Thus, the fossil fuel industry is ready to implement carbon capture and storage (CCS) once a CO. tax regime or its equivalent is introduced. Ques

Omnipotent

Approaches to handling uncertainty when setting environmental exposure standardsch handles uncertainty in disagreement with the precautionary principle: a smaller and less sensitive study will tend to yield higher exposure limits. As an attractive alternative, the Benchmark dose approach estimates the exposure associated with a predefined risk increase above the background. Alt

Minikin