| 書(shū)目名稱 | Time Predictions |
| 副標(biāo)題 | Understanding and Av |
| 編輯 | Torleif Halkjelsvik,Magne J?rgensen |
| 視頻video | http://file.papertrans.cn/926/925425/925425.mp4 |
| 概述 | Learn why and when your time predictions will be overoptimistic and how to improve the accuracy of your time predictions.Read the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time predicti |
| 叢書(shū)名稱 | Simula SpringerBriefs on Computing |
| 圖書(shū)封面 |  |
| 描述 | This book is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license..Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describes methods for predicting time usage in situations with high uncertainty, explains why two plus two is usually more than four in time prediction contexts, reports on research on time prediction biases, and summarizes the evidence in support of different time prediction methods and principles. Based on a comprehensive review of the research, it is the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time predictions..Large parts of the book are directed toward people wishing to achieve better time predictions in their professional life, such as project managers, graphic designers, architects, engineers, film producers, consultants, software developers, or anyone else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also of benefit to those with a general interest in judgment and decision-making or those who want to imp |
| 出版日期 | Book‘‘‘‘‘‘‘‘ 2018 |
| 關(guān)鍵詞 | time predictions; human judgement; overoptimism; uncertainty; project management; open acces |
| 版次 | 1 |
| doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74953-2 |
| isbn_softcover | 978-3-319-74952-5 |
| isbn_ebook | 978-3-319-74953-2Series ISSN 2512-1677 Series E-ISSN 2512-1685 |
| issn_series | 2512-1677 |
| copyright | The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2018 |
|Archiver|手機(jī)版|小黑屋|
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