Titlebook: Making Essential Choices with Scant Information; Front-End Decision M Terry M. Williams (Professor of Management Science Book 2009 Palgrave

騷擾

Optimism and Misrepresentation in Early Project DevelopmentMajor projects generally have the following characteristics:

BRIEF

Expert Judgement of Probability and RiskThis chapter reviews extant research on the quality of expert judgement of probability and risk. Both types of judgement are of great relevance to the concerns of this book, because expert judgement under uncertainty is a key component in the making of decisions with scant information.

諄諄教誨

Obtaining Distributions from Groups for Decisions Under UncertaintyDecision theory provides a model for rational decision-making under uncertainty. The model involves

Intruder

Projects, Their Quality at Entry and Challenges in the Front-end Phaseect. Projects are temporary in the sense that they have a definite beginning and end. They may involve a single person or many thousands of people. They may require less than a hundred hours to complete or several million hours. Projects may involve a single unit of one organisation or may cross organisational boundaries.

生存環(huán)境

Up-Front Assessment of Needsof deficient and misleading needs analyses in large public investment projects, the chapter provides advice regarding the extent and demarcation of needs analyses, what documentation is needed, appropriate scheduling and organizational responsibility for the analyses.

arboretum

梯田

Evaluation of Risks in Complex Problemsearly-stage concept development for major projects. Several qualitative and quantitative risk analysis techniques are surveyed. A complex investment project, a large data centre design and location decision is used to illustrate some of the risk techniques.

tenuous

暖昧關(guān)系

Implementing Strategy Through Project Management: The Importance of Managing the Project Front-ender measures of effectiveness may be more significant than the traditional project management efficiency measures of budget, schedule and scope attainment. And finally, it will show the importance of leadership in achieving this.

Antigen

Using Soft Systems Methodology to Structure Project Definitiontion is presented and, linked to this, a brief introduction to the approach. It is not intended to be a definitive guide to using SSM at the front-end: it merely presents one experience of using the approach in order to highlight its relevance and credibility and to illustrate the kind of role that SSM can play at this crucial stage.