Titlebook: Human Judgment; How Accurate Is It, John Wilcox Book 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2022 Ra

語言學(xué)

What Is Judgmental Accuracy: Concepts and Measurement,u might be 80% confident that you will stay in your job a year from now, or 99.9999% confident that the sun will rise tomorrow. The accuracy of these confidence levels can be measured in various ways, such as measures of calibration, resolution, and Brier scores. It finally argues for the superiorit