| 書目名稱 | Forecasting Models for National Economic Planning | | 編輯 | A. R. G. Heesterman | | 視頻video | http://file.papertrans.cn/346/345289/345289.mp4 | | 叢書名稱 | International Studies in Economics and Econometrics | | 圖書封面 |  | | 描述 | This book is about the specification of linear econometric models, and for this reason some important related fields have been deliberately omitted. I did not want to discuss the problems of parameter-estimation, at least not in any detail, as there are other books on these problems written by specialized statisticians. This book is about the models them- selves and macro-economic models in particular. A second related sub- ject is the policy decision that can be made with the help of a model. While I did write a chapter on policy decisions, I limited myself to some extent because of my views on planning as such. The logical approach to this problem is in terms of mathematical programming, but our models and our ideas about the policies we want are too crude for its effective utilisation. A realistic formulation of the problem should involve non- linearities in an essential way, the models I consider (and most existing models) are linear. At the present state of econometrics, I do not really believe in such a thing as the ‘optimal‘ plan. The possible result of bad planning or no planning at all, for instance massive unemployment, sudden financial crises, unused capital equipment, o | | 出版日期 | Book 1972Latest edition | | 關(guān)鍵詞 | calculus; dynamics; econometrics; economic growth; equilibrium; growth; optimization; production; unemployme | | 版次 | 2 | | doi | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-3139-4 | | isbn_softcover | 978-94-010-3141-7 | | isbn_ebook | 978-94-010-3139-4Series ISSN 0924-5170 | | issn_series | 0924-5170 | | copyright | D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland 1972 |
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