Titlebook: Expert Judgment and Expert Systems; Jeryl L. Mumpower (Associate Professor),Ortwin Ren Conference proceedings 1987 Springer-Verlag Berlin

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Gro?forschung mit kleinen Teilchenxt, the media often play the role of transmitter and translator of information about health and environmental risks, but have been criticized for exaggerating risks and emphasizing drama over scientific facts.

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Principles of the Analytic Hierarchy Process familiar terminology, conscious thought appears to differ from affective thought in that it is directed, checked against feedback, evaluated in terms of its effectiveness in advancing specific goals, and protected from drift by deliberately controlled attention by the thinker [16].

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Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Is Probability Epistemologically and Heuristically Adequate?er, 1976). There have also been attempts to develop non-numerical schemes, including Paul Cohen’s theory of endorsements (Cohen, 1985), Doyle’s theory of reasoned assumptions (Doyle, 1983), and various linguistic representations of uncertainty (Fox, 1986). We shall refer to both probabilistic and alternative methods, generically, as ., or UISs.

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灌溉

Bogdan Murgescu,Andrei Florin Sora has significant advantages that could be usefully adapted by the other. This article focuses on how decision analysis could appropriately be used to improve the potential usefulness of expert systems designed for decision support.

Neolithic

勤勉

Stadtentwicklung und Stadtteilverfall,rovides a yet unrecognized means for developing what are in essence very simple expert systems. Moreover, current efforts in the field of expert systems could be profitably informed by the accumulated results and experience of many years of research by students of the psychology of expert judgment.