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Titlebook: Econometric Business Cycle Research; Jan Jacobs Book 1998 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1998 Simulation.assessment.business.bu

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發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 17:23:16 | 只看該作者 |倒序?yàn)g覽 |閱讀模式
書(shū)目名稱(chēng)Econometric Business Cycle Research
編輯Jan Jacobs
視頻videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/302/301438/301438.mp4
圖書(shū)封面Titlebook: Econometric Business Cycle Research;  Jan Jacobs Book 1998 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1998 Simulation.assessment.business.bu
描述.Econometric Business Cycle Research. deals witheconometric business cycle research (EBCR), a term introduced by theNobel-laureate Jan Tinbergen for his econometric method of testing(economic) business cycle theories. EBCR combines economic theory andmeasurement in the study of business cycles, i.e., ups and downs inoverall economic activity. We assess four methods of EBCR: businesscycle indicators, simultaneous equations models, vector autoregressivesystems and real business indicators. After a sketch of the history ofthe methods, we investigate whether the methods meet the goals ofEBCR: the three traditional ones, description, forecasting and policyevaluation, and the one Tinbergen introduced, theimplementation|testing of business cycles. The first three EBCRmethods are illustrated for the Netherlands, a typical example of asmall, open economy. .The main conclusion of the book is that simultaneous equation modelsare the best vehicle for EBCR, if all its goals are to be attainedsimultaneously. This conclusion is based on a fairly detailedassessment of the methods and is not over-turned in the empiricalillustrations. The main conclusion does not imply the end of otherEBCR methods.
出版日期Book 1998
關(guān)鍵詞Simulation; assessment; business; business cycle; econometrics; economic theory; economy; forecasting; model
版次1
doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-5591-9
isbn_softcover978-1-4613-7558-6
isbn_ebook978-1-4615-5591-9
copyrightSpringer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1998
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 22:59:00 | 只看該作者
k is that simultaneous equation modelsare the best vehicle for EBCR, if all its goals are to be attainedsimultaneously. This conclusion is based on a fairly detailedassessment of the methods and is not over-turned in the empiricalillustrations. The main conclusion does not imply the end of otherEBCR methods. 978-1-4613-7558-6978-1-4615-5591-9
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978-1-4613-7558-6Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 1998
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 14:08:42 | 只看該作者
Background,ay an important role in current discussions about econometric methodology in general and EBCR in particular were put forward in the 1930s and the 1940s. In addition, we introduce the concept of co-integration and pay attention to seasonality.
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 18:22:38 | 只看該作者
Assessment,. Subsequently, the methods are presented in a formal manner to clarify how they capture business cycles. After that, the methods are judged against our other criteria of assessment: forecasting, policy evaluation, and the role of theory.
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