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Titlebook: Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems; G. L. Hammer,N. Nicholls,C. Mitchell Book 2000 Spring

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發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 18:28:52 | 只看該作者 |倒序?yàn)g覽 |閱讀模式
期刊全稱Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems
影響因子2023G. L. Hammer,N. Nicholls,C. Mitchell
視頻videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/160/159557/159557.mp4
學(xué)科分類Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library
圖書封面Titlebook: Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems;  G. L. Hammer,N. Nicholls,C. Mitchell Book 2000 Spring
影響因子Climate variability has major impacts in many parts of theworld, including Australia. Developments in understanding of the ElNi?o - Southern Oscillation Phenomenon have introducedsome skill in seasonal to inter-annual climate forecasting. Can thisskill be harnessed to advantage? Or do we just continue to observethese impacts? How does a decision-maker managing an agricultural ornatural ecosystem modify decisions in response to a skillful, butimprecise, seasonal climate forecast? Using Australian experience as abasis, this book focuses on these questions in pursuing means tobetter manage climate risks. The state of the science in climateforecasting is reviewed before considering detailed examples ofapplications to: . .farm scale agriculturaldecisions (such as management of cropping and grazing systems);..regional and national scale agricultural decisions (such ascommodity trading and government policy); and ..natural systems(such as water resources, pests and diseases, and natural fauna)... Many of the examples highlight the participatory andinter-disciplinary approach required among decision-makers, resourcesystems scientists/analysts, and climate scientists to bring about theeffec
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 21:37:05 | 只看該作者
The Relevance of Seasonal Climate Forecasting to a Rural Producerand a wide range of financial and other management skills Under continued pressure in terms of trade, Australian farmers have become efficient, innovative and receptive to new technology..In response to the extreme variability of the climate in Queensland, scientists have made good progress in seaso
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 02:06:21 | 只看該作者
Understanding and Predicting the World’s Climate Systemn systems. Prospects for improving forecasts of ENSO and its global consequences are considered in view of the factors limiting the skill of current forecasts: inherent limits to predictability, flaws in the models and data assimilation procedures, and gaps in the observing system. The possibilities
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 11:06:26 | 只看該作者
The Development and Delivery of Current Seasonal Climate Forecasting Capabilities in Australiaied out in Australia. Current forecasting activity is focused on statistical forecasting techniques that use the Southern Oscillation Index or certain sea-surface temperature anomaly patterns. More recent research in seasonal climate forecasting is being directed towards the use of atmospheric gener
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 14:26:46 | 只看該作者
The Potential for Improved Statistical Seasonal Climate Forecastseoretical understanding of the climate system; availability of only basic statistical techniques and limited computational capabilities. Progress in recent years, and the potential for further improvement in the future is the result of improvements in all these areas. Obviously these topics are all
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-23 01:12:09 | 只看該作者
Operational Experience with Climate Model Predictionsess of these models in . the Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre has been testing the use of models to . the El Ni?o — Southern Oscillation and to . Australian rainfall. These models are run every month, in “real time”, so examination of the skill of their forecasts provides a good test of the mod
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