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Titlebook: Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling; Masanao Aoki,Arthur M. Havenner Conference proceedings 1997 Springer-Verlag New York,

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期刊全稱Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling
影響因子2023Masanao Aoki,Arthur M. Havenner
視頻videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/160/159345/159345.mp4
學(xué)科分類Lecture Notes in Statistics
圖書封面Titlebook: Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling;  Masanao Aoki,Arthur M. Havenner Conference proceedings 1997 Springer-Verlag New York,
影響因子This book consists of three parts: Part One is composed of two introductory chapters. The first chapter provides an instrumental varible interpretation of the state space time series algorithm originally proposed by Aoki (1983), and gives an introductory account for incorporating exogenous signals in state space models. The second chapter, by Havenner, gives practical guidance in apply- ing this algorithm by one of the most experienced practitioners of the method. Havenner begins by summarizing six reasons state space methods are advanta- geous, and then walks the reader through construction and evaluation of a state space model for four monthly macroeconomic series: industrial production in- dex, consumer price index, six month commercial paper rate, and money stock (Ml). To single out one of the several important insights in modeling that he shares with the reader, he discusses in Section 2ii the effects of sampling er- rors and model misspecification on successful modeling efforts. He argues that model misspecification is an important amplifier of the effects of sampling error that may cause symplectic matrices to have complex unit roots, a theoretical impossibility. Correct mod
Pindex Conference proceedings 1997
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