找回密碼
 To register

QQ登錄

只需一步,快速開(kāi)始

掃一掃,訪問(wèn)微社區(qū)

打印 上一主題 下一主題

Titlebook: Apocalypse When?; Calculating How Long Willard Wells Book 2009 Praxis 2009 End of the World.Eschatology book.Human Survivability.Random var

[復(fù)制鏈接]
查看: 16982|回復(fù): 36
樓主
發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 19:36:41 | 只看該作者 |倒序?yàn)g覽 |閱讀模式
期刊全稱Apocalypse When?
期刊簡(jiǎn)稱Calculating How Long
影響因子2023Willard Wells
視頻videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/159/158975/158975.mp4
發(fā)行地址Provides a unique analysis of the chances of human survivability in the short and long term.Develops a formula for survival based on four separate measures.Gives the numerical estimates of human survi
學(xué)科分類Springer Praxis Books
圖書(shū)封面Titlebook: Apocalypse When?; Calculating How Long Willard Wells Book 2009 Praxis 2009 End of the World.Eschatology book.Human Survivability.Random var
影響因子.This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author’s predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. Wells’ carefully erected theory stands on a sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids or comets, but perhaps more surprisingly from man-made hazards arising from genetic engineering or robotics...Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace’s principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer’s random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory...The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his princip
Pindex Book 2009
The information of publication is updating

書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?影響因子(影響力)




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?影響因子(影響力)學(xué)科排名




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?網(wǎng)絡(luò)公開(kāi)度




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?網(wǎng)絡(luò)公開(kāi)度學(xué)科排名




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?被引頻次




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?被引頻次學(xué)科排名




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?年度引用




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?年度引用學(xué)科排名




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?讀者反饋




書(shū)目名稱Apocalypse When?讀者反饋學(xué)科排名




單選投票, 共有 0 人參與投票
 

0票 0%

Perfect with Aesthetics

 

0票 0%

Better Implies Difficulty

 

0票 0%

Good and Satisfactory

 

0票 0%

Adverse Performance

 

0票 0%

Disdainful Garbage

您所在的用戶組沒(méi)有投票權(quán)限
沙發(fā)
發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 20:39:23 | 只看該作者
Double jeopardy, asteroid is just as likely to strike one year as another, its risk gauge runs at a constant rate; in other words it is a clock. For man-made risks, the virtual gauge is some imprecise measure of modern hazardous activity. It indicates serious danger due to our extreme inexperience—only a half centu
板凳
發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 04:16:19 | 只看該作者
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-6271-2aching some essential singularity [an abnormal mathematical point] in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue.” Another math professor, Vernor Vinge, well known for his science fiction, picked up the concept. He began lecturing about the . during the 1
地板
發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 08:10:05 | 只看該作者
5#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 10:28:39 | 只看該作者
John Schmeelk,Djurdjica Taka?i,Arpad Taka?iLet us begin by examining the most basic formula for an entity’s survival. The equation gives its decreasing probability of survival starting at birth. For a stage production that would be curtain time on opening night. Later we shall adjust that formula to give the entity’s survival probabiliy starting at a later time when it is observed alive.
6#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 13:51:56 | 只看該作者
7#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-22 20:31:22 | 只看該作者
Sequences and Series of Functions,We may be the only humanoid species in our galaxy, or we may be one of millions. In any case, let us pretend that a substantial number have come and gone. This lets us use their presumed existence to retain ordinary concepts of statistical ensembles.
8#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-23 00:11:09 | 只看該作者
9#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-23 01:52:26 | 只看該作者
Formulation,Let us begin by examining the most basic formula for an entity’s survival. The equation gives its decreasing probability of survival starting at birth. For a stage production that would be curtain time on opening night. Later we shall adjust that formula to give the entity’s survival probabiliy starting at a later time when it is observed alive.
10#
發(fā)表于 2025-3-23 08:46:31 | 只看該作者
Confirmation,Figure 6 shows a logic diagram that traces our progress so far and what to expect in Chapter 2. A continuation of this diagram, Figure 18 in Chapter 3, will complete the logic for predicting human survival.
 關(guān)于派博傳思  派博傳思旗下網(wǎng)站  友情鏈接
派博傳思介紹 公司地理位置 論文服務(wù)流程 影響因子官網(wǎng) 吾愛(ài)論文網(wǎng) 大講堂 北京大學(xué) Oxford Uni. Harvard Uni.
發(fā)展歷史沿革 期刊點(diǎn)評(píng) 投稿經(jīng)驗(yàn)總結(jié) SCIENCEGARD IMPACTFACTOR 派博系數(shù) 清華大學(xué) Yale Uni. Stanford Uni.
QQ|Archiver|手機(jī)版|小黑屋| 派博傳思國(guó)際 ( 京公網(wǎng)安備110108008328) GMT+8, 2025-10-28 16:22
Copyright © 2001-2015 派博傳思   京公網(wǎng)安備110108008328 版權(quán)所有 All rights reserved
快速回復(fù) 返回頂部 返回列表
沁水县| 无锡市| 高要市| 成安县| 辉县市| 石门县| 宣恩县| 新津县| 海林市| 通州区| 汕头市| 太仓市| 突泉县| 静宁县| 武城县| 呼玛县| 高雄县| 渭南市| 铜陵市| 新田县| 根河市| 昌乐县| 高邮市| 普陀区| 梨树县| 阿鲁科尔沁旗| 洪湖市| 霍山县| 顺平县| 高台县| 高安市| 泾源县| 凤冈县| 伊春市| 无棣县| 砚山县| 香港 | 昌邑市| 阿图什市| 新余市| 思茅市|