| 期刊全稱 | An Economic Analysis of Conflicts | | 期刊簡稱 | With an Application | | 影響因子2023 | Nicos Christodoulakis | | 視頻video | http://file.papertrans.cn/155/154914/154914.mp4 | | 發(fā)行地址 | Develops alternative methods for estimating the economic costs of civil conflicts.Extends the Lotka-Volterra models to realistically represent civil conflicts.Applies the framework to the case of the | | 圖書封面 |  | | 影響因子 | .This book provides a quantitative framework for the analysis of conflict dynamics and for estimating the economic costs associated with civil wars. The author develops modified Lotka-Volterra equations to model conflict dynamics, to yield realistic representations of battle processes, and to allow us to assess prolonged conflict traps. The economic costs of civil wars are evaluated with the help of two alternative methods: Firstly, the author employs a production function to determine how the destruction of human and physical capital stocks undermines economic growth in the medium term. Secondly, he develops a synthetic control approach, where the cost is obtained as the divergence of actual economic activity from a hypothetical path in the absence of civil war. The difference between the two approaches gives an indication of the adverse externalities impinging upon the economy in the form of institutional destruction. By using detailed time-series regarding battle casualties, localsocio-economic indicators, and capital stock destruction during the Greek Civil War (1946-1949), a full-scale application of the above framework is presented and discussed.. | | Pindex | Book 2016 |
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