| 期刊全稱 | Affective Decision Making Under Uncertainty | | 期刊簡稱 | Risk, Ambiguity and | | 影響因子2023 | Donald J. Brown | | 視頻video | http://file.papertrans.cn/151/150621/150621.mp4 | | 發(fā)行地址 | Explores the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty.Presents various essays on behavioral economics and behavioral finance that draw on the theory of Black Swans.Argues for a disti | | 學科分類 | Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems | | 圖書封面 |  | | 影響因子 | .This book is an exploration of the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty. It presents various essays on behavioral economics and behavioral finance that draw on the theory of Black Swans (Taleb 2010), which argues for a distinction between unprecedented events in our past and unpredictable events in our future. The defining property of Black Swan random events is that they are unpredictable, i.e., highly unlikely random?events. In this text, Mandelbrot’s (1972) operational definition of risky random unpredictable events is extended to Black Swan assets – assets for which the cumulative probability distribution or conditional probability distribution of random future asset returns is a power distribution. Ambiguous assets are assets for which the uncertainties of future returns are not risks. Consequently, there are two disjoint classes of Black Swan assets: Risky Black Swan assets and Ambiguous Black Swan assets, a new class of ambiguous assets withunpredictable random future outcomes..The text is divided into two parts, the first of which focuses on affective moods, introduces affective utility functions and discusses the ambiguity of Black Swans. The second | | Pindex | Textbook 2020 |
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