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Titlebook: A Practitioner‘s Guide to State and Local Population Projections; Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson Book 2013 Springer Science

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發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 18:13:45 | 只看該作者 |倒序瀏覽 |閱讀模式
期刊全稱A Practitioner‘s Guide to State and Local Population Projections
影響因子2023Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson
視頻videohttp://file.papertrans.cn/142/141861/141861.mp4
發(fā)行地址Covers both the methodology and analysis of population projections.Includes projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment).Focuses on problems unique to small areas
學(xué)科分類The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
圖書封面Titlebook: A Practitioner‘s Guide to State and Local Population Projections;  Stanley K. Smith,Jeff Tayman,David A. Swanson Book 2013 Springer Science
影響因子This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections.? ? The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They
Pindex Book 2013
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-21 23:45:37 | 只看該作者
Yufeng Wang,Yifeng Lu,Jinyuan Duthods to apply, and what problems to watch out for when making population projections. It will also give data users the tools they need to evaluate population projections and decide how they can best be used.
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Taylorapproximationen und Potenzreihen,hin age groups or between target years. The adjustments described in this chapter increase the complexity of the projection process, but often lead to substantial improvements in the quality and usefulness of the projections.
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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-56573-5 groups, and individual blocks. We also discuss microsimulation models, which focus on projections of individual entities (e.g., persons, households, or vehicles). We close with a discussion of the strengths and weaknesses of structural and microsimulation models.
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發(fā)表于 2025-3-23 05:40:33 | 只看該作者
Michael Oberguggenberger,Alexander Ostermannguidelines will not answer every question, but they will provide a checklist highlighting the issues that must be considered and the choices that must be made. We believe they will help the analyst make reasonable choices and—perhaps more important—avoid potentially disastrous pitfalls.
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