Titlebook: Winning at Litigation through Decision Analysis; Creating and Executi John Celona Textbook 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerla

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Why Decision Analysis Is the Right Solutionmissing issues and clarify the relationships among them. Decision trees handle complexity. Probability assessments capture judgment on uncertainties. Explicit problem structuring tests and develops understanding of which alternative is best and why. The results make intuitive sense and make you much

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Structure the Problemnalyze the results. The steps in structuring the problem are: draw the relevance diagram, draw the decision tree, and write the value formulas. This chapter covers structuring the problem, including common difficulties and issues in performing the steps. Those issues often revolve around handling de

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Difficult Questions to Structuretrative and not exhaustive, and should be used as a starting point for creating the best structure for your case. In addition, we cover some of the key financial concepts for analyzing cases, such as dealing with cash flows over time and creating financial models for damages.

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Special Probability Approachesossible arguments, dependencies between issues which are not formally or legal related, working with a group, tracking estimates over time, and alternative methods for assessing dependencies. Dependent or conditional probabilities are almost always present and usual crucial, so handling them correct

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Multiple Parties and Claimsour case—and thereby to think about what a good settlement amount is. This chapter shows ways of handling a number of the most common problems. The approaches don’t involve new concepts, and, indeed, you can (or may have) come up with them yourself by using standard problem structuring techniques. I