標題: Titlebook: Making Essential Choices with Scant Information; Front-End Decision M Terry M. Williams (Professor of Management Science Book 2009 Palgrave [打印本頁] 作者: Detrusor-Muscle 時間: 2025-3-21 18:59
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書目名稱Making Essential Choices with Scant Information讀者反饋學(xué)科排名
作者: 要素 時間: 2025-3-21 21:17 作者: 詞匯表 時間: 2025-3-22 01:54 作者: membrane 時間: 2025-3-22 07:57 作者: RENIN 時間: 2025-3-22 09:31 作者: 過分自信 時間: 2025-3-22 13:50 作者: cochlea 時間: 2025-3-22 19:15 作者: decode 時間: 2025-3-22 23:56
Useful Heuristicspeople, researchers and lay persons alike, suppose that the outcome of a decision can be improved by (a) an exhaustive search for information, and the integration of many pieces of information, (b) having more time to think, and calculate possible outcomes, or (c) having more computational power and作者: sclera 時間: 2025-3-23 05:11 作者: 過分 時間: 2025-3-23 08:33
Terry Cooke-Davies sarebbe molto più sensato considerarle alleate nella grande battaglia contro un Signore Oscuro ogni giorno più potente: il cambiamento climatico, che potrebbe benissimo annientare, nel giro di uno o due secoli, la nostra cara e malconcia regione globalizzata.978-88-470-2497-7978-88-470-2498-4Series ISSN 2239-7477 Series E-ISSN 2239-7663 作者: Indecisive 時間: 2025-3-23 10:47
Terry M. Williams (Professor of Management Science作者: Evocative 時間: 2025-3-23 14:13 作者: 排斥 時間: 2025-3-23 19:23 作者: Limpid 時間: 2025-3-23 22:27 作者: Hay-Fever 時間: 2025-3-24 06:18
Scenarios Planning judgements made under conditions of scant information. The focus is on the area of appreciative judgement (Vickers, 1995), based on making sense of diverse and often contradictory signals against a background of significant uncertainty. A general discussion of the topic is followed by case studies 作者: stroke 時間: 2025-3-24 09:17 作者: 調(diào)整校對 時間: 2025-3-24 14:32
Front-end Alignment of Projects — Doing the Right Projectshed; they will further the sponsoring organization’s chosen corporate strategy and contribute to its overall goals. Unfortunately, this is not always done and can result in significant underperformance compared to expectations. Challenges are created by the different nature of the tasks facing both作者: inspiration 時間: 2025-3-24 18:06
Using Soft Systems Methodology to Structure Project Definitione front-end of projects: “better understanding is needed of the ‘soft’ methodologies and their relevance and credibility”. This chapter focuses on one of these “soft” methodologies, namely, soft systems methodology (SSM) and how it can be applied at the front-end. The chapter will demonstrate the re作者: 察覺 時間: 2025-3-24 21:27
Decision Behaviour- Improving Expert Judgements deviate systematically from normative standards. Per definition, systematic biases result in reduced decision quality, and accordingly, may have serious consequences. However, the fact that judgement biases are systematic also gives hope. If the biases and their causes can be identified, it should作者: Ejaculate 時間: 2025-3-25 01:02
Useful Heuristics prices of houses in a certain area. The first project leader, Mr O, approaches this task by searching exhaustively for all available pieces of information that he knows will influence the selling price, such as property tax, lot size, total living space, age of the house, number of bathrooms and so作者: dilute 時間: 2025-3-25 04:51 作者: Incorruptible 時間: 2025-3-25 08:55 作者: instructive 時間: 2025-3-25 12:35
Analyzing Information. Techniques and Analyses much information on which to base these decisions. Several strategies can be pursued to increase the likelihood of making the right decisions, including obtaining more and/or better information, postponing decisions until information is available, involving more and better qualified people in the d作者: Dendritic-Cells 時間: 2025-3-25 18:36 作者: 微生物 時間: 2025-3-25 22:50 作者: 狗舍 時間: 2025-3-26 02:42 作者: 陪審團 時間: 2025-3-26 04:18 作者: violate 時間: 2025-3-26 09:40
Terry Cooke-Daviesor rischio: vivere nei pressi di una centrale nucleare o fumChe cosa emette più radioattività nell‘a(chǎn)tmosfera: una centrale nucleare o una centrale termica?Una centrale termica.Che cosa comporta maggior rischio: vivere nei pressi di una centrale nucleare o fumare una sigaretta?Fumare una sola sigaret作者: 民間傳說 時間: 2025-3-26 16:04 作者: Cumbersome 時間: 2025-3-26 19:23
5), effettuate da un’unica figura di riferimento, il medico specialista, con una modalità aperta, cioè . o su semplice appuntamento, e senza ricovero. All’origine di una consultazione ambulatoriale vi è una situazione problematica del paziente e della sua famiglia, che per vari motivi giunge a un p作者: Audiometry 時間: 2025-3-26 22:06
Tim Bedfordl monitoraggio della Qualità dei percorsi diagnostici e terapeutici non è stato e non?è impegno di poco conto: non a caso essi sono annoverati tra i punti di forza e gli obiettivi strategici anche del Piano Sanitario Nazionale 2003-2005 ("Garantire e monitorare la qualità delle cure e delle tecnolog作者: Excise 時間: 2025-3-27 04:05
Bj?rn Andersenl monitoraggio della Qualità dei percorsi diagnostici e terapeutici non è stato e non?è impegno di poco conto: non a caso essi sono annoverati tra i punti di forza e gli obiettivi strategici anche del Piano Sanitario Nazionale 2003-2005 ("Garantire e monitorare la qualità delle cure e delle tecnolog作者: capsaicin 時間: 2025-3-27 09:08
Book 2009An in-depth look at how to improve decisions on major projects at the concept stage, when there is scant information available. This book describes how to evaluate judgemental information.?It looks at?how scant information can actually be a strength, and can help establish a broad overall perspective.作者: Lamina 時間: 2025-3-27 12:23
https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230236837complexity; Distribution; evaluation; management; PERT; project management; rating; strategy作者: 流浪者 時間: 2025-3-27 16:45 作者: Excitotoxin 時間: 2025-3-27 18:43
Decisions Made on Scant Information: Overviewew technological products, building new capital assets, or carrying out unique large-scale enterprises all require major projects to be undertaken. The place of projects has become increasingly important in the life of corporations and, indeed, of nations.作者: DRILL 時間: 2025-3-28 00:32 作者: 敬禮 時間: 2025-3-28 04:55 作者: 刀鋒 時間: 2025-3-28 07:24 作者: 否決 時間: 2025-3-28 10:56
Overview: An in-depth look at how to improve decisions on major projects at the concept stage, when there is scant information available. This book describes how to evaluate judgemental information.?It looks at?how scant information can actually be a strength, and can help establish a broad overall perspective.978-1-349-30224-6978-0-230-23683-7作者: 騷擾 時間: 2025-3-28 18:25
Optimism and Misrepresentation in Early Project DevelopmentMajor projects generally have the following characteristics:作者: BRIEF 時間: 2025-3-28 21:52
Expert Judgement of Probability and RiskThis chapter reviews extant research on the quality of expert judgement of probability and risk. Both types of judgement are of great relevance to the concerns of this book, because expert judgement under uncertainty is a key component in the making of decisions with scant information.作者: 諄諄教誨 時間: 2025-3-29 01:58
Obtaining Distributions from Groups for Decisions Under UncertaintyDecision theory provides a model for rational decision-making under uncertainty. The model involves作者: Intruder 時間: 2025-3-29 05:42
Projects, Their Quality at Entry and Challenges in the Front-end Phaseect. Projects are temporary in the sense that they have a definite beginning and end. They may involve a single person or many thousands of people. They may require less than a hundred hours to complete or several million hours. Projects may involve a single unit of one organisation or may cross organisational boundaries.作者: 生存環(huán)境 時間: 2025-3-29 10:22
Up-Front Assessment of Needsof deficient and misleading needs analyses in large public investment projects, the chapter provides advice regarding the extent and demarcation of needs analyses, what documentation is needed, appropriate scheduling and organizational responsibility for the analyses.作者: arboretum 時間: 2025-3-29 14:40 作者: 梯田 時間: 2025-3-29 16:33
Evaluation of Risks in Complex Problemsearly-stage concept development for major projects. Several qualitative and quantitative risk analysis techniques are surveyed. A complex investment project, a large data centre design and location decision is used to illustrate some of the risk techniques.作者: tenuous 時間: 2025-3-29 23:44 作者: 暖昧關(guān)系 時間: 2025-3-30 01:53
Implementing Strategy Through Project Management: The Importance of Managing the Project Front-ender measures of effectiveness may be more significant than the traditional project management efficiency measures of budget, schedule and scope attainment. And finally, it will show the importance of leadership in achieving this.作者: Antigen 時間: 2025-3-30 05:00
Using Soft Systems Methodology to Structure Project Definitiontion is presented and, linked to this, a brief introduction to the approach. It is not intended to be a definitive guide to using SSM at the front-end: it merely presents one experience of using the approach in order to highlight its relevance and credibility and to illustrate the kind of role that SSM can play at this crucial stage.作者: backdrop 時間: 2025-3-30 10:18 作者: Infirm 時間: 2025-3-30 13:21 作者: ORE 時間: 2025-3-30 18:30
Hitoshi Tsuda,Masayuki Yoshida,Kunihiko Seki,Eriko Iwamoto,Kenjiro Jimbo,Sota Asaga,Takayuki Kinoshil media outlets: the divulgation of some current.?under-reckoned.?non-infectious pandemics like obesity and chronic pain, the presence of longer-living populations around the world named?.blue zones., the Ameri978-3-031-47619-8978-3-031-47620-4作者: 積習難改 時間: 2025-3-30 22:18 作者: mercenary 時間: 2025-3-31 03:29 作者: 不斷的變動 時間: 2025-3-31 06:58
Ausgetretene Wege mit Erfolg verlassenich für das Unternehmen jedoch bereits ersch?pft..Durch ungew?hnliche Analysemethoden wurden weitere Beziehungen zwischen Produkten und Kunden entdeckt. So konnte eine v?llig neue Zielgruppe angesprochen werden..Inteligo gewann aus diesen Zielsegmenten 30 Prozent aller adressierten Personen als Neukunden.