標(biāo)題: Titlebook: Expert Judgment and Expert Systems; Jeryl L. Mumpower (Associate Professor),Ortwin Ren Conference proceedings 1987 Springer-Verlag Berlin [打印本頁] 作者: 乳缽 時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 16:21
書目名稱Expert Judgment and Expert Systems影響因子(影響力)
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書目名稱Expert Judgment and Expert Systems網(wǎng)絡(luò)公開度學(xué)科排名
書目名稱Expert Judgment and Expert Systems被引頻次
書目名稱Expert Judgment and Expert Systems被引頻次學(xué)科排名
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書目名稱Expert Judgment and Expert Systems年度引用學(xué)科排名
書目名稱Expert Judgment and Expert Systems讀者反饋
書目名稱Expert Judgment and Expert Systems讀者反饋學(xué)科排名
作者: 全等 時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 20:16
Gro?forschung mit kleinen Teilchenxt, the media often play the role of transmitter and translator of information about health and environmental risks, but have been criticized for exaggerating risks and emphasizing drama over scientific facts.作者: 搖晃 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 01:59 作者: 抵押貸款 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 06:15
Principles of the Analytic Hierarchy Process familiar terminology, conscious thought appears to differ from affective thought in that it is directed, checked against feedback, evaluated in terms of its effectiveness in advancing specific goals, and protected from drift by deliberately controlled attention by the thinker [16].作者: 不足的東西 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 09:53 作者: 悅耳 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 14:50
Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Is Probability Epistemologically and Heuristically Adequate?er, 1976). There have also been attempts to develop non-numerical schemes, including Paul Cohen’s theory of endorsements (Cohen, 1985), Doyle’s theory of reasoned assumptions (Doyle, 1983), and various linguistic representations of uncertainty (Fox, 1986). We shall refer to both probabilistic and alternative methods, generically, as ., or UISs.作者: 悅耳 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 17:09 作者: 灌溉 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 00:24
Bogdan Murgescu,Andrei Florin Sora has significant advantages that could be usefully adapted by the other. This article focuses on how decision analysis could appropriately be used to improve the potential usefulness of expert systems designed for decision support.作者: Neolithic 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 04:17 作者: 勤勉 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 07:55
Stadtentwicklung und Stadtteilverfall,rovides a yet unrecognized means for developing what are in essence very simple expert systems. Moreover, current efforts in the field of expert systems could be profitably informed by the accumulated results and experience of many years of research by students of the psychology of expert judgment.作者: 失眠癥 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 12:42 作者: infringe 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 14:15
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-20574-8o determine the best decision under some well defined conditions. Such conditions are usually specified by a relatively small number of facts or variables. Prescriptive rules are based upon rationality principles such as consistency, transitivity of choices, or the maximization of subjective utility (Edwards, 1984).作者: Innovative 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 20:22 作者: 主講人 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 22:50 作者: 序曲 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 06:02
Value-Driven Expert Systems for Decision Support has significant advantages that could be usefully adapted by the other. This article focuses on how decision analysis could appropriately be used to improve the potential usefulness of expert systems designed for decision support.作者: Keshan-disease 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 09:59 作者: 沐浴 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 14:41
Very Simple Expert Systems: An Application of Judgment Analysis to Political Risk Analysisrovides a yet unrecognized means for developing what are in essence very simple expert systems. Moreover, current efforts in the field of expert systems could be profitably informed by the accumulated results and experience of many years of research by students of the psychology of expert judgment.作者: 財(cái)產(chǎn) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 17:10
Expert Systems and Intelligent Computer-Assisted-Instruction personal, detailed evaluation and direction (Clancey, 1986). Computerassisted-instruction (CAI) may facilitate such individualized instruction in a more effective, faster, and less costly manner than traditional teaching.作者: Lumbar-Stenosis 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 20:34
Expert Systems as Cognitive Tools for Human Decision Makingo determine the best decision under some well defined conditions. Such conditions are usually specified by a relatively small number of facts or variables. Prescriptive rules are based upon rationality principles such as consistency, transitivity of choices, or the maximization of subjective utility (Edwards, 1984).作者: 雕鏤 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 01:59
Descriptive and Prescriptive Models for Judgment and Decision Making: Implications for Knowledge Eng have been interested in understanding and describing how people make inferences under complexity and uncertainty. Operations researchers have developed methods that extend human ability to make decisions about complex problems.作者: Ossification 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 07:18
The term “Expert Systems” is very popular today. It is fashionable not just to produce “programs” but something which can be counted under “Artificial Intelligence”. In this context it is natural to give at least an informal definition of what an Expert System really is. In fact, there are various attempts to supply us with such a definition.作者: 原始 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 11:34
Gro?forschung in neuen DimensionenIn this paper we shall explore the use of decision aids in policy analysis; but our title is probably too broad since we will be giving an incomplete and partial account of the subject, based on some experiences of constructing decision aids.作者: refraction 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 13:38
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-54012-1Beginning with the first electronic version, the computer has been put to problem-solving tasks of ever greater complexity. At present, there is a considerable effort to make the computer take on the ultimate challenge: replace the human expert.作者: canvass 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 18:13 作者: Nonporous 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 22:18 作者: cliche 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 00:58
Policy Analysis and Decision AidsIn this paper we shall explore the use of decision aids in policy analysis; but our title is probably too broad since we will be giving an incomplete and partial account of the subject, based on some experiences of constructing decision aids.作者: Mosaic 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 04:47 作者: Minikin 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 09:55 作者: 卷發(fā) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 16:07
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-92801-7hold in 25 years and which of these services will be supplied by state and industry. We ask social science experts to predict the effects of such techniques and services. While most expect a growth in these techniques and services, they disagree about their effects on social contacts, creativity among the young, and feelings of state control.作者: PANG 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 19:43
Das Sozialamt und die ?neue Armut“ these. Since Ontario Hydro’s route and site selection process involves large numbers of internal and external experts from a variety of backgrounds, and has evolved into a regular process employing a variety of approaches or methods, it would seem to form a valid basis for one opinion on these issues.作者: HILAR 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 23:19
Uwe Altrock,Nico Grunze,Sigrun Kabisch member, but there is little evidence available to suggest that the quality of collective judgment is substantially improved by any particular method of aggregation (Rohrbaugh, 1979, 1981). Fischer (1981) has concluded:作者: cancellous-bone 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 04:17
Untersuchung eines Venturi-Messers,y as an argument for selling their product. Expert systems have become a symbol in our modern society, yet most members of this society have little idea of the reality behind the symbol. A firm will use “Expert Systems” to indicate the outstanding character of its ability to keep pace in the modern business world.作者: 多樣 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 09:06 作者: Somber 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 13:30
The Use of Causal Knowledge for Inferential Reasoninghold in 25 years and which of these services will be supplied by state and industry. We ask social science experts to predict the effects of such techniques and services. While most expect a growth in these techniques and services, they disagree about their effects on social contacts, creativity among the young, and feelings of state control.作者: Myocarditis 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 14:00 作者: 易改變 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 19:22 作者: Adulterate 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 23:06 作者: maladorit 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 02:31
Common Sense Knowledge in Expert Systemsal successfully with such domains, expert systems must have common sense knowledge. Common sense is an open domain. So every attempt of a symbolic representation is bound to be incomplete. Nevertheless, the presented examples show that there are some aspects that can be approached by Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods. Among them are:作者: 沒收 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 09:15
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-28530-4ve reason [35]; Freud [10] as secondary versus primary process thinking; and Hobbes [14] as thought with or without “designe.” More recently the division has been referred to as directed versus autistic thinking [4] and operant versus respondent thought [16]. The terms Varendinck [33] uses for the d作者: 松馳 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 10:26
Gro?forschung mit kleinen Teilchentional difficulties. Government officials, industry executives, and scientific experts often complain that laypeople do not understand technical risk information. Individual citizens and representatives of public groups are often equally frustrated, perceiving government and industry officials to be作者: bile648 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 18:11 作者: anaphylaxis 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 19:40
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-92801-7hold in 25 years and which of these services will be supplied by state and industry. We ask social science experts to predict the effects of such techniques and services. While most expect a growth in these techniques and services, they disagree about their effects on social contacts, creativity amo作者: discord 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 00:21
Bogdan Murgescu,Andrei Florin Soraovide this help are quite distinct from each other. Indeed, both decision analysis and expert systems have complementary strengths. Consequently, each has significant advantages that could be usefully adapted by the other. This article focuses on how decision analysis could appropriately be used to 作者: Modify 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 06:08 作者: 飛來飛去真休 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 11:12
Das Sozialamt und die ?neue Armut“ these. Since Ontario Hydro’s route and site selection process involves large numbers of internal and external experts from a variety of backgrounds, and has evolved into a regular process employing a variety of approaches or methods, it would seem to form a valid basis for one opinion on these issu作者: 存在主義 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 13:07 作者: SLAG 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 17:23
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-531-90296-8dualized instruction, modeled after the idea of a private tutor, allows a student to proceed at his own pace, to explore his interests, and to receive personal, detailed evaluation and direction (Clancey, 1986). Computerassisted-instruction (CAI) may facilitate such individualized instruction in a m作者: Heretical 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 22:56 作者: 持久 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 03:54
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-20574-8sions, on the one hand, and prescriptive theories on the other hand. Prescriptive theories are formal procedures which one supposedly ought to apply to determine the best decision under some well defined conditions. Such conditions are usually specified by a relatively small number of facts or varia作者: 襲擊 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 06:36 作者: AND 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 12:17
Untersuchung eines Venturi-Messers,y as an argument for selling their product. Expert systems have become a symbol in our modern society, yet most members of this society have little idea of the reality behind the symbol. A firm will use “Expert Systems” to indicate the outstanding character of its ability to keep pace in the modern 作者: 領(lǐng)帶 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 14:29 作者: 宿醉 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 19:32 作者: BLANK 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 22:21
Expert Judgment and Expert Systems978-3-642-86679-1Series ISSN 0258-1248 作者: micronutrients 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 02:49 作者: Host142 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 07:01 作者: Anonymous 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 12:10
Principles of the Analytic Hierarchy Processve reason [35]; Freud [10] as secondary versus primary process thinking; and Hobbes [14] as thought with or without “designe.” More recently the division has been referred to as directed versus autistic thinking [4] and operant versus respondent thought [16]. The terms Varendinck [33] uses for the d作者: 擴(kuò)張 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 15:07
Knowledge Systems, Expert Systems, and Risk Communicationtional difficulties. Government officials, industry executives, and scientific experts often complain that laypeople do not understand technical risk information. Individual citizens and representatives of public groups are often equally frustrated, perceiving government and industry officials to be作者: 盡忠 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 20:00
Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence: Is Probability Epistemologically and Heuristically Adequate?t, hitherto, found standard probabilistic techniques very appealing for use in rule-based, expert systems. Among the many alternative numerical schemes for quantifying uncertainty that have been developed are the Certainty Factors used in Mycin (Shortliffe & Buchanan, 1975) and its descendants, Fuzz作者: 完成 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 00:49
The Use of Causal Knowledge for Inferential Reasoninghold in 25 years and which of these services will be supplied by state and industry. We ask social science experts to predict the effects of such techniques and services. While most expect a growth in these techniques and services, they disagree about their effects on social contacts, creativity amo作者: Arthropathy 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 05:36
Value-Driven Expert Systems for Decision Supportovide this help are quite distinct from each other. Indeed, both decision analysis and expert systems have complementary strengths. Consequently, each has significant advantages that could be usefully adapted by the other. This article focuses on how decision analysis could appropriately be used to 作者: Grievance 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 08:33
Expert Systems and Creativityat “expert system” means in an artificial intelligence context. Then we shift focus from “ordinary” intelligence to “creative” intelligence by examining the concept of creative behavior, followed by a discussion of the implications for the design of an expert system exhibiting creativity across vari作者: Inkling 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 12:46 作者: Employee 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 15:30 作者: 青少年 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 22:12
