作者: 尖叫 時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 21:03 作者: 否決 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 03:33 作者: Indebted 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 04:39
Surprising Scenarios. Imagination as a Dimension of Foresight,e fiction. Both follow the principle of “What if…” and both are aimed at imagining surprising events or developments. In both cases, thought experiment starts with an assumption – the invented wild card or the novum of science fiction (element of difference to our real world) and searches for possib作者: Wallow 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 09:37
Security 2025: Scenarios as an Instrument for Dialogue,future social and political developments resulting from the actions of science, politics, end-users and society usually are not elements of these scenarios. In contrast to this, the scenario process “Security 2025” of the Research Forum on Public Safety and Security was aimed to relate broader visio作者: 廢止 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 16:38
Didactical Functions of Dark and Bright Scenarios: Examples from the European Transport Industry,situation, could have a very high motivational effect, e.g. a didactical function, especially if they are largely debated well beyond the stakeholder milieu. We argue that in the cases here presented, dark scenarios often lead to activities to avoid their realization. The example of the European tra作者: 廢止 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 20:53
The Use of SWOT Analysis for Future Scenarios: A Case Study of Privacy and Emerging Technologies, systematic way. This method was developed by using the original future-oriented SWOT method in order to analyze scenarios that examined the future relationship between privacy and emerging technologies. Based on researchers’ experiences from the use of the original method, two limitations were iden作者: 颶風(fēng) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 00:22 作者: prolate 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 01:22 作者: 失敗主義者 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 08:02 作者: Horizon 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 12:28 作者: bromide 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 17:09 作者: sacrum 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 20:57 作者: 似少年 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 22:53
Conclusion,rnational challenges and businesses, respectively. The scenarios presented in this book are intended to demonstrate the flexibility and usefulness of the method with regard to complex contexts and objectives within the fields of security, privacy and mobility research. Working as a catalyst, scenari作者: leniency 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 04:42 作者: 四牛在彎曲 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 07:42 作者: 是他笨 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 11:09 作者: 沒收 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 18:03 作者: 減少 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 19:20
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0605-1ture history) scenarios, exploratory vs. normative scenarios, abstract presentations vs. narrative descriptions..Writing narrative scenarios, i.e. scenarios told as stories, can be regarded as an analytical procedure since it allows in depth assessments of the scenario’s topic – its prerequisites, i作者: 就職 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 01:50 作者: handle 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 06:36 作者: Affectation 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 09:34 作者: Cubicle 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 13:07 作者: 敲竹杠 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 19:17 作者: aquatic 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 23:46
Takanori Ibaraki,Wataru Takahashi(India) have been linked to the perception of regional discrimination and finally caused statebifurcation. Today’s transition situation bears great opportunities to develop visions and action plans for future development of the new Telangana state..In an expert workshop (“Salon”) on Future Scenarios作者: 有危險(xiǎn) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 02:45
Advances in Mathematical Economicspproach of intuitive logics to integrate not only the data available, this method focuses mainly on expert’s estimations and expectations (Kosow & Ga?ner 2008, 48). The group of experts contributing to the scenario development consisted of Germany based researchers who are concerned with issues of m作者: 課程 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 07:30 作者: preeclampsia 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 11:12 作者: 木質(zhì) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 14:56 作者: rods366 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 20:53
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-67909-7to reflect on scenarios as tools in different contexts. Against the background of the examples in this volume the challenges, potential weaknesses, and strengths of the method and its application are scrutinized. From a practical point of view, scenarios are intended to matter – for instance as a ne作者: Custodian 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 21:29
Kentaro Miyazaki,Shin-Ichi Takekumarnational challenges and businesses, respectively. The scenarios presented in this book are intended to demonstrate the flexibility and usefulness of the method with regard to complex contexts and objectives within the fields of security, privacy and mobility research. Working as a catalyst, scenari作者: 友好關(guān)系 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 01:46 作者: vitrectomy 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 08:31
Zukunft und Forschunghttp://image.papertrans.cn/e/image/313028.jpg作者: aspect 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 11:36 作者: 一瞥 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 14:32 作者: Communicate 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 19:15 作者: MURKY 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 01:02 作者: pulse-pressure 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 02:46
,Scenarios that tell a Story. Normative Narrative Scenarios – An Efficient Tool for Participative In story board (detailed plot with protagonists), writing the scenario, enriching the scenario through feedback with workshop participants, interpreting the scenario (e. g. within a special workshop), and, if intended, publication. Main difficulties and challenges in each step are discussed, as well a作者: Corral 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 07:22
Surprising Scenarios. Imagination as a Dimension of Foresight,e methodological integration of collective and individual imagination within foresight processes. Putting wild cards or science fiction ideas into context implies to fathom plausible social, political, economical, and cultural consequences, counter-intuitive findings and surprises included.作者: 前面 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 14:03 作者: 膝蓋 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 17:25
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0605-1“idea line”, defined as the sequence of scenario elements that have to be conveyed, and the “plot line”, defined as the sequence of events that belong to the plot and that trace the unfolding of interactions of the characters..Narrative scenarios help to understand how people and whole societies may作者: Cocker 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 22:29
Advances in Mathematical Economics story board (detailed plot with protagonists), writing the scenario, enriching the scenario through feedback with workshop participants, interpreting the scenario (e. g. within a special workshop), and, if intended, publication. Main difficulties and challenges in each step are discussed, as well a作者: vasculitis 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 23:19 作者: 適宜 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 04:47
Egbert Dierker,Hildegard Dierkerxtualized and critically reflected upon by experts from politics and science and by security practitioners. The paper analyzes the rich discussions inspired by the scenarios, focusing on risk perception, risk communication, politicians as stakeholders, and a new security culture that embraces uncert作者: 劇毒 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 10:37
The Future of Water Use: Construction of Scenarios in the Project,ner 2008, 48). The group of experts contributing to the scenario development consisted of Germany based researchers who are concerned with issues of minor irrigation, water management or governance in Andhra Pradesh whose point of views were subsequently commented upon by dedicated Indian researchers via Email.作者: 單調(diào)性 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 11:59 作者: 投射 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 18:35
The FESTOS Scenarios,ll participants, the FESTOS scenarios are a methodological method for threat assessment, impact analysis and backgrounds for the identification of indicators. The four final scenarios are presented in the following sections.作者: 異端邪說2 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 20:28 作者: 發(fā)生 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 03:33 作者: Dappled 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 06:10
Takanori Ibaraki,Wataru Takahashi for Governance and Participation in the Telangana Region (Hyderabad 2012) a visionary process was initiated in order to consult decision makers and to integrate the perspectives of experts, civil society and the private sector into the possibly upcoming process of state re-organisation.作者: extract 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 09:19
Samuel Drapeau,Michael Kupper,Ranja Reda The article shows the approach, the completion and the validation of narrative scenarios and ends with a suggestion of how scenarios might be useful to identify indicators, as a monitoring instrument to assess the potential for similar events.作者: 改革運(yùn)動(dòng) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 15:39
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-67909-7w perspective, a catalyst for discussions or a virtual test bed. However, whether they actually have an impact or not might not be measurable in all cases and sometimes their ways of influencing were not intended by the developers since the perceived impact is not controllable and depends on the recipient.作者: 教育學(xué) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 18:40 作者: Lament 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 23:32 作者: 評(píng)論者 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 03:22
