標(biāo)題: Titlebook: Clear Thinking; Structured Analytic Randolph H. Pherson,Ole Donner,Oliver Gnad Book 2024 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), [打印本頁] 作者: risky-drinking 時間: 2025-3-21 16:05
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書目名稱Clear Thinking影響因子(影響力)學(xué)科排名
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書目名稱Clear Thinking網(wǎng)絡(luò)公開度學(xué)科排名
書目名稱Clear Thinking被引頻次
書目名稱Clear Thinking被引頻次學(xué)科排名
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書目名稱Clear Thinking年度引用學(xué)科排名
書目名稱Clear Thinking讀者反饋
書目名稱Clear Thinking讀者反饋學(xué)科排名
作者: Pepsin 時間: 2025-3-21 20:24
2731-9776 guidance for improving decision-making and critical thinking.This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipa作者: 人充滿活力 時間: 2025-3-22 01:25
Pedro Vale Pinheiro,Fernando Boavidase study showcases how SATs (Key Assumptions Check, Starbursting, Mind Mapping, Cluster Brainstorming, Multiple Hypotheses Generation, and the Inconsistencies Finder?) could have been used by you and your team to solve the problem. Dates, locations, and (company) names have been changed in this case study. However, it is based on a true event.作者: 變量 時間: 2025-3-22 06:38
Blackout in Berlin!,se study showcases how SATs (Key Assumptions Check, Starbursting, Mind Mapping, Cluster Brainstorming, Multiple Hypotheses Generation, and the Inconsistencies Finder?) could have been used by you and your team to solve the problem. Dates, locations, and (company) names have been changed in this case study. However, it is based on a true event.作者: harangue 時間: 2025-3-22 09:32
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-06704-9ecause SATs are designed to improve thinking and judgment – both of which are needed anytime and anywhere – this book is for every single “thinker.” Whether you are an experienced analyst or just starting out in the field, we hope this book will provide you with the knowledge and techniques you need to effectively tackle complex problems.作者: declamation 時間: 2025-3-22 13:11 作者: declamation 時間: 2025-3-22 19:06
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-5078-1e pitfalls. The five families of Structured Analytic Techniques presented in Appendix B offer a rich toolbox for approaching real-life problems, as demonstrated in the three case studies in Chaps. ., ., and ..作者: 脖子 時間: 2025-3-23 00:25 作者: ostensible 時間: 2025-3-23 05:11 作者: FATAL 時間: 2025-3-23 06:56
Outlook,e pitfalls. The five families of Structured Analytic Techniques presented in Appendix B offer a rich toolbox for approaching real-life problems, as demonstrated in the three case studies in Chaps. ., ., and ..作者: 危機(jī) 時間: 2025-3-23 12:29
Book 2024ies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display..作者: 頭腦冷靜 時間: 2025-3-23 16:42
Pedro Vale Pinheiro,Fernando Boavidaaccurate perception of reality more difficult. In contrast, heuristics can be helpful and profitable but can also lead to misperceptions and incorrect judgments and conclusions. Intuitive stumbling blocks are practical manifestations of both cognitive biases and misapplied heuristics and can affect the analyst’s day-to-day work.作者: 護(hù)航艦 時間: 2025-3-23 19:43
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-06704-9, which is defined as reporting derived from human sources, informants, or assets. The traditional use of two criteria to establish the quality of human source reporting – access and reliability – is far too simplistic and can often be misleading.作者: transient-pain 時間: 2025-3-24 02:06
Developments in Plant and Soil Sciencestheories. We use the epic crime as a showcase to illustrate what analytical tools could have contributed to a resolution of the case. The methods we use include timelines and chronologies, starmapping, profiling, competing hypothesis analysis and multiple hypothesis generation, cognitive bias testing, and actor analysis.作者: commute 時間: 2025-3-24 04:50 作者: 含糊其辭 時間: 2025-3-24 08:09 作者: Strength 時間: 2025-3-24 13:47 作者: 悠然 時間: 2025-3-24 15:59 作者: 成份 時間: 2025-3-24 21:32 作者: 充氣球 時間: 2025-3-25 01:32 作者: 加花粗鄙人 時間: 2025-3-25 03:56
Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizationshttp://image.papertrans.cn/c/image/227310.jpg作者: 假裝是你 時間: 2025-3-25 10:34
Clear Thinking978-3-031-48766-8Series ISSN 2731-9776 Series E-ISSN 2731-9784 作者: 約會 時間: 2025-3-25 14:10 作者: 被告 時間: 2025-3-25 17:55 作者: 抱負(fù) 時間: 2025-3-25 21:55
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-06704-9bes the various categories of analysis they are seeking. A second question to address is: What are the . I must understand and answer and what are the building-block questions that underlie the reason for interest in my topic. When formulating the essential and fundamental questions that you should 作者: EXTOL 時間: 2025-3-26 01:07
Pedro Vale Pinheiro,Fernando Boavida asked the task force to determine how a major blackout occurred that had significant impact on Germany – and to recommend what to do about it. The case study showcases how SATs (Key Assumptions Check, Starbursting, Mind Mapping, Cluster Brainstorming, Multiple Hypotheses Generation, and the Inconsi作者: 青少年 時間: 2025-3-26 04:41
Developments in Plant and Soil Sciencesrder was indeed a ‘John F. Kennedy moment.’ The crime was never solved. In June 2020, lead prosecutor Krister Petersson closed the cold case – and gave only one clue to the most plausible perpetrator: Stig Engstr?m, the infamous ‘Skandia man’. Over the course of more than three decades, new teams of作者: harpsichord 時間: 2025-3-26 10:18
V. Balasubramanian,J. K. Ladha,G. L. Denningyber intelligence office were tasked with determining how the Arctic is likely to evolve over the next 10?years, focusing in particular on the extent to which the Russians may exert dominance over the region – and to recommend what to do about it. The case study showcases how Foresight Structured An作者: 廢除 時間: 2025-3-26 16:27
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-5078-1nformed decisions. By exploring Kahneman’s System 1 and System 2 thinking and the biases, heuristics, and intuitive traps that can arise, readers hopefully gained a deeper understanding of the limitations of human reasoning and the value of employing structured techniques in avoiding common cognitiv作者: heterodox 時間: 2025-3-26 16:47 作者: 多山 時間: 2025-3-26 21:29
978-3-031-48768-2The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerl作者: 脖子 時間: 2025-3-27 03:08
2731-9776 p instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display..978-3-031-48768-2978-3-031-48766-8Series ISSN 2731-9776 Series E-ISSN 2731-9784 作者: NAIVE 時間: 2025-3-27 07:24
Setting the Stage,unately, mere knowledge of errors in thinking and judgment does not protect us from avoiding them: structured techniques provide the basic materials for effective decision making in all analytic domains – private, business, and government – and at all levels – tactical, operational, and strategic. B作者: Bravura 時間: 2025-3-27 11:27
Understanding How We Think: System 1 and System 2,eloped during evolution and contributed to the survival of our species, especially at the beginning of human development. System 2 “kicks in” when we encounter a complex calculation or a complex analysis problem and must think deliberately about what to do. System 1 thinking is more susceptible to c作者: colony 時間: 2025-3-27 15:57
Conceptualizing Your Topic,bes the various categories of analysis they are seeking. A second question to address is: What are the . I must understand and answer and what are the building-block questions that underlie the reason for interest in my topic. When formulating the essential and fundamental questions that you should 作者: 美學(xué) 時間: 2025-3-27 18:48
Blackout in Berlin!, asked the task force to determine how a major blackout occurred that had significant impact on Germany – and to recommend what to do about it. The case study showcases how SATs (Key Assumptions Check, Starbursting, Mind Mapping, Cluster Brainstorming, Multiple Hypotheses Generation, and the Inconsi作者: 浮雕寶石 時間: 2025-3-28 01:26
Terror in Stockholm,rder was indeed a ‘John F. Kennedy moment.’ The crime was never solved. In June 2020, lead prosecutor Krister Petersson closed the cold case – and gave only one clue to the most plausible perpetrator: Stig Engstr?m, the infamous ‘Skandia man’. Over the course of more than three decades, new teams of作者: pacifist 時間: 2025-3-28 06:10 作者: Tortuous 時間: 2025-3-28 09:23 作者: 顛簸地移動 時間: 2025-3-28 12:29
9樓作者: 浪費(fèi)物質(zhì) 時間: 2025-3-28 16:52
10樓作者: DIKE 時間: 2025-3-28 19:36
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10樓作者: 主動脈 時間: 2025-3-29 05:50
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