標題: Titlebook: Bending the Law of Unintended Consequences; A Test-Drive Method Richard M. Adler Book 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020 Critical De [打印本頁] 作者: Bunion 時間: 2025-3-21 18:02
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作者: penance 時間: 2025-3-21 22:12
four sample test drives of realistic critical decisions as well as two instructional videos to illustrate this new method. This book provides leaders and their support teams with important new tools for analyzing and refining complex decisions that are critical to organizational well-being and survival.978-3-030-32716-3978-3-030-32714-9作者: Basilar-Artery 時間: 2025-3-22 02:18
,Infektionsprophylaxe für Reisende,ection 4.5 sketches a dynamic model that explains how these cognitive factors act to distort critical decision-making. Section 4.6 closes by identifying the cognitive biases that most strongly influence the phases of the critical decision-making process presented in Chap. 2.作者: 鄙視 時間: 2025-3-22 06:12
Richard M. AdlerOffers an innovative method to improve critical decision-making in organizations.Features realistic example test drives of critical problems of broad interest to businesses.Features two instructional 作者: 評論性 時間: 2025-3-22 11:31
http://image.papertrans.cn/b/image/183399.jpg作者: Pedagogy 時間: 2025-3-22 16:41
Introduction,resented, a prominent merger and an early retirement opportunity program. The Law of Unintended Consequences is put forward as the reason behind these failures. Our approach to improving decision outcomes by “bending” the Law is sketched and the overall structure of the book is previewed.作者: 笨重 時間: 2025-3-22 19:11 作者: VERT 時間: 2025-3-22 22:28
Beurteilung der Erfolge der Herdtherapie,is inquiry by defining criticality and explaining why it is so difficult to make critical decisions effectively. Section 2.1 explains criticality by proposing four defining criteria and then providing illustrative examples. Section 2.2 explains how these four defining criteria complicate the lives o作者: Gudgeon 時間: 2025-3-23 03:46 作者: altruism 時間: 2025-3-23 05:46
,Infektionsprophylaxe für Reisende,a brief excursion into rational choice theory and will illuminate what Merton (and his successors) were reacting to and why. Following that, we will review the prevailing cognitive explanation for psychological triggers of LUC, in four parts. Section 4.2 provides a brief history of the research coll作者: guzzle 時間: 2025-3-23 09:57
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-25631-2ses that impair critical decision-making and open the door to the Law of Unintended Consequences (LUC). Robert K. Merton also identified constraints on deliberate thinking as equally important contributors to LUC. This chapter examines Herbert Simon’s pivotal cognitive scientific research on these b作者: 使人煩燥 時間: 2025-3-23 16:32 作者: Innocence 時間: 2025-3-23 21:07
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-35389-9 the leading technologies relating to BI and analytics. Sections 7.2 and 7.3 examine the roles these technologies play in decision-making. We argue that BI and analytics enhance situational awareness and short-term trending rather than offer deep insights into the future. We also argue that predicti作者: gregarious 時間: 2025-3-23 23:10
Heinz P. R. Seeliger,Herbert Wernercal decisions. This chapter surveys leading modeling and simulation techniques that enable this effort. Section 8.1 explains why these tools are superior to predictive analytics for projecting outcomes of critical decisions. Sections 8.2 through 8.4 present synopses of individual techniques. Each sy作者: Deadpan 時間: 2025-3-24 03:22 作者: LUDE 時間: 2025-3-24 10:07 作者: Rebate 時間: 2025-3-24 13:43
M. Kuttnig,G. Zobel,H. M. Grubbauer,M. Trop decisions to build or join Internet marketplaces for business-to-business (B2B) trading, a topic that was introduced in Chap. .. Section . explains the genesis of net markets during the dot-com boom in the late 1990s. Section . describes our test drive model for critical decisions regarding buildin作者: 不朽中國 時間: 2025-3-24 16:38 作者: 節(jié)約 時間: 2025-3-24 21:43 作者: DEAWL 時間: 2025-3-25 00:48 作者: epicardium 時間: 2025-3-25 04:50
Antibiotika und Antibiotikatherapie,n one side by Scylla, a terrifying six-headed sea monster, and on the other side by Charybdis, an enormous and lethal whirlpool. Businesses face similarly unavoidable menaces of cognitive biases and bounded rationality when navigating critical decisions. Ignoring either one of these perils, or both,作者: Essential 時間: 2025-3-25 11:13 作者: poliosis 時間: 2025-3-25 15:44
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32714-9Critical Decision-making; Decision Analysis; decision strategy; decision science; Law of Unintended Cons作者: 刺穿 時間: 2025-3-25 16:07
978-3-030-32716-3Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020作者: 野蠻 時間: 2025-3-25 21:51
Introduction,resented, a prominent merger and an early retirement opportunity program. The Law of Unintended Consequences is put forward as the reason behind these failures. Our approach to improving decision outcomes by “bending” the Law is sketched and the overall structure of the book is previewed.作者: Ebct207 時間: 2025-3-26 00:12 作者: Interstellar 時間: 2025-3-26 05:55
The Law of Unintended Consequences lives. What accounts for its disruptive power, which frustrates and confounds our best-laid plans and efforts? The short answer is that LUC cuts both deeply and broadly: deeply because its causes permeate the very way we think and attempt to solve problems, and broadly because it operates across al作者: 碳水化合物 時間: 2025-3-26 11:15 作者: 厚顏 時間: 2025-3-26 14:08 作者: 反饋 時間: 2025-3-26 20:50
Countering Cognitive Biaseste for various cognitive biases. But selecting relevant countermeasures to a few well-known biases is not sufficient to consistently ward off the Law of Unintended Consequences (LUC). Too many biases surface at too many phases of the decision-making process to allow such an ad hoc approach. Instead,作者: 同來核對 時間: 2025-3-26 22:05
Business Intelligence, Analytics, and Their Discontents the leading technologies relating to BI and analytics. Sections 7.2 and 7.3 examine the roles these technologies play in decision-making. We argue that BI and analytics enhance situational awareness and short-term trending rather than offer deep insights into the future. We also argue that predicti作者: expansive 時間: 2025-3-27 02:03 作者: Diaphragm 時間: 2025-3-27 08:03 作者: 憤憤不平 時間: 2025-3-27 10:03
Competitive Marketing Strategydecisions in the pharmaceutical industry. Sections . and . explain the structure of the market for prescription drugs and how pharmaceutical companies market to this sector. Section . describes a test drive model for competitive drug marketing decisions, while Sect. . presents results from a test dr作者: 粗糙 時間: 2025-3-27 17:40
Disruptive Growth decisions to build or join Internet marketplaces for business-to-business (B2B) trading, a topic that was introduced in Chap. .. Section . explains the genesis of net markets during the dot-com boom in the late 1990s. Section . describes our test drive model for critical decisions regarding buildin作者: MIME 時間: 2025-3-27 21:49
Managing Enterprise Riskanalysis and risk management. Section 12.2 presents a conceptual model for managing risk adapted from the theory of financial portfolio management. Section 12.3 describes how this portfolio-based approach grounds our test drive model for critical decisions to allocate resources to reduce enterprise 作者: inculpate 時間: 2025-3-27 21:57
Enabling Organizational Change internal changes. Section 13.1 offers a primer on organizational change. Section 13.2 presents a static conceptual model for responding effectively to imminent change. Section 13.3 describes our solution for test driving decisions to enable smooth change, which extends and animates the static model作者: escalate 時間: 2025-3-28 03:32 作者: 我吃花盤旋 時間: 2025-3-28 10:09
Summaryn one side by Scylla, a terrifying six-headed sea monster, and on the other side by Charybdis, an enormous and lethal whirlpool. Businesses face similarly unavoidable menaces of cognitive biases and bounded rationality when navigating critical decisions. Ignoring either one of these perils, or both,作者: nurture 時間: 2025-3-28 11:14 作者: 施加 時間: 2025-3-28 17:49 作者: 搖擺 時間: 2025-3-28 21:43 作者: 一再困擾 時間: 2025-3-29 01:30
Die experimentelle Virusinfektion,resent a strategy for managing defenses against cognitive biases that draws on checklists and process control. Section 6.4 reviews the business case for investing in systematic defenses against cognitive biases.作者: 微粒 時間: 2025-3-29 04:00 作者: 散開 時間: 2025-3-29 09:31 作者: 條約 時間: 2025-3-29 14:17
Endotracheale Pneumonie-Prophylaxe,ods. Section 13.5 summarizes the benefits of using a test drive model to help design, test, and execute change strategies. A video is available that explains and demonstrates this test drive solution.作者: 獨裁政府 時間: 2025-3-29 15:48
Countering Cognitive Biasesresent a strategy for managing defenses against cognitive biases that draws on checklists and process control. Section 6.4 reviews the business case for investing in systematic defenses against cognitive biases.作者: 瘙癢 時間: 2025-3-29 23:25
Business Intelligence, Analytics, and Their Discontents operational decisions directly, but critical ones much more weakly and indirectly. Marketing fervor notwithstanding, BI and analytics hold little promise for bending the Law of Unintended Consequences on their own.作者: forbid 時間: 2025-3-30 02:55 作者: 不如屎殼郎 時間: 2025-3-30 07:51 作者: 無價值 時間: 2025-3-30 08:33 作者: 粗語 時間: 2025-3-30 12:43 作者: 催眠藥 時間: 2025-3-30 19:27 作者: 蓋他為秘密 時間: 2025-3-31 00:37 作者: 滴注 時間: 2025-3-31 04:57 作者: 態(tài)度暖昧 時間: 2025-3-31 09:01
Book 2020 for decision failures using the Law of Unintended Consequences. This account draws on the work of sociologist Robert K. Merton, psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, and economist Herbert Simon to identify two primary causes?:?cognitive biases and bounded rationality. It introduces an inn
