標(biāo)題: Titlebook: Beliefs, Interactions and Preferences; in Decision Making Mark J. Machina,Bertrand Munier Book 1999 Springer-Verlag US 1999 Attribut.arbitr [打印本頁(yè)] 作者: ACORN 時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 19:18
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作者: mitten 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 00:03
Preference Summaries for Stochastic Tree Rollbackerence summaries that can be used to decompose a stochastic tree into preference elements and probabilistic elements. Through an example, we describe this decomposition and subsequent utility computations.作者: Reservation 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 04:20 作者: 四溢 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 07:15
Gewinnung und Reinigung von Tonen, of these new models. Today, scientists are increasingly interested in understanding agents’ actual decision-making procedures and heuristics, and how these translate into preference functionals and choice functions.作者: 惹人反感 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 08:43 作者: contrast-medium 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 14:04 作者: 貪婪地吃 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 20:17
f Utility and Risk Theory (`FUR VIII‘) conference inMons, Belgium, together with a few solicited papers from well-knownauthors in the field. .This book addresses some of the questions that have recently emergedin the research on decision-making and risk theory. In particular,authors have modeled mor作者: 用樹皮 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 21:30 作者: Hyperlipidemia 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 04:04
Der Kostenbegriff und seine Unterbegriffed expected utility preferences. Comparisons of risk aversion, concepts of decreasing and increasing risk aversion and tools for comparative static analysis are derived. A dual analysis is shown to apply to problems of production under uncertainty.作者: NORM 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 07:35 作者: Mettle 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 13:32 作者: 橢圓 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 16:45 作者: GROG 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 19:03 作者: Foregery 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 23:47
Der Leistungsbegriff und seine Unterbegriffe in decision theory is how to define the support of a capacity. A third important issue which does not arise in decision theory is the proper definition of product capacities. A fourth issue which is potentially important for both decision and game theory is the proper definition of conditional capacities.作者: arbiter 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 03:21
Non-Additive Beliefs: From Decision to Game Theory in decision theory is how to define the support of a capacity. A third important issue which does not arise in decision theory is the proper definition of product capacities. A fourth issue which is potentially important for both decision and game theory is the proper definition of conditional capacities.作者: 陳列 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 07:35
Book 1999and Risk Theory (`FUR VIII‘) conference inMons, Belgium, together with a few solicited papers from well-knownauthors in the field. .This book addresses some of the questions that have recently emergedin the research on decision-making and risk theory. In particular,authors have modeled more and more作者: 笨拙處理 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 14:24
Introduction to the Volumeenty years. After the era of the “paradoxes” uncovered by economists and psychologists, a large part of the 1980’s was devoted to producing alternative models to the dominant expected utility model of risk preferences. The latter part of the 1980’s and the early 1990’s saw the estimating and testing作者: Lucubrate 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 16:17 作者: Baffle 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 22:31
Risk and Uncertainty Aversion on Certainty Equivalent Functionssociated the concavity of the von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function with some relevant aspects of the decision-maker’s preferences. In particular, risk aversion can be defined in terms of risk premium (i.e., the difference between the expected value and the certainty equivalent of a lottery). Wit作者: Euthyroid 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 00:51
The State-Contingent Approach to Risk Premiums and Comparative Statics in Generalised Expected Utilied expected utility preferences. In this paper, these tools are used to define absolute and relative risk premiums for decision-makers with generalised expected utility preferences. Comparisons of risk aversion, concepts of decreasing and increasing risk aversion and tools for comparative static ana作者: 公社 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 05:44
The Preservation of Comparative Statics under Uncertaintyon’t affect supply. Sandmo (1971), however, showed that, if a finn fazes price uncertainty and is risk averse, then changes in fixed costs can affect its supply. Under certainty, input demands slope downward in own prices. Batra and Ullah (1974) however, showed that, if the finn faces price uncertai作者: 具體 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 11:09
Non-Additive Beliefs: From Decision to Game Theorytrategies. Moreover, capacities can serve as a modelling tool for strategic uncertainty. However, four novel issues come up when the modelling device of non-additive probabilities (capacities) is transplanted from decision to game theory. First, there is the tension between the desire for more predi作者: 忘川河 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 13:47 作者: nocturia 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 17:55 作者: myalgia 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 22:54
Do We Really Need Numerous Observations to Select Candidates? (The d-Day Theorem)straint of minimizing information costs and maximizing the principal’s confidence about the candidate who will be finally promoted. However, if it is straightforward that concerning the first aim, it is more or less always possible to observe the candidates in their current duties without any supple作者: Exposure 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 00:31 作者: 絕食 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 07:26
Combinatoric and Geometric Aspects of Some Probabilistic Choice Models — A Reviewoncerns a new class of stochastic models describing the evolution of preferences, and the other some probabilistic models for approval voting. After recalling various commonly used preference relations, we discuss the fundamental property of ‘wellgradedness’ which is satisfied by certain important f作者: 悲痛 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 10:41
Arbitrage, Incomplete Models, and Other People’s Brainss. The idea that individuals make choices by rationally weighing values and uncertainties (or that they ought to, or at least act as if they do) is central to Bayesian methods of statistical inference and decision analysis; the theory of games of strategy; theories of competitive markets, industrial作者: fluoroscopy 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 14:54 作者: concise 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 19:10 作者: ticlopidine 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 22:15 作者: goodwill 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 02:21
Education Signalling and UncertaintyApplying the new concept of a . to signalling games, we show that a pooling equilibrium is the unique equilibrium outcome. With strategic uncertainty, signalling productivity by education may no longer be feasible.作者: 閃光你我 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 05:53
Probabilistic Interactions among Players of a Cooperative GameLet .. be a cooperative game on the finite set of players . that is a set function v called capacity from the power set .(.) to IR such that v(?) = O. .(S), for any coalition . ? . can be considered as the worth or power of the coalition of players being in the party . The set of all games defined on . is denoted .(.).作者: 串通 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 09:36 作者: 親愛 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 17:01
Felix Singer,Sonja S. Singer M. A., B. Sc.the same consequence in all states of the world. More precisely, they postulate that the domain of consequences is state independent. But there are many decision problems where this hypothesis makes no sense — for instance, where there is a risk of death or serious injury. The point was first made b作者: 停止償付 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 21:33
Felix Singer,Sonja S. Singer M. A., B. Sc.sociated the concavity of the von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function with some relevant aspects of the decision-maker’s preferences. In particular, risk aversion can be defined in terms of risk premium (i.e., the difference between the expected value and the certainty equivalent of a lottery). Wit作者: pus840 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 23:43
Der Kostenbegriff und seine Unterbegriffeed expected utility preferences. In this paper, these tools are used to define absolute and relative risk premiums for decision-makers with generalised expected utility preferences. Comparisons of risk aversion, concepts of decreasing and increasing risk aversion and tools for comparative static ana作者: 頭腦冷靜 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 03:55 作者: 萬神殿 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 06:18
Der Leistungsbegriff und seine Unterbegriffetrategies. Moreover, capacities can serve as a modelling tool for strategic uncertainty. However, four novel issues come up when the modelling device of non-additive probabilities (capacities) is transplanted from decision to game theory. First, there is the tension between the desire for more predi作者: Surgeon 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 10:54 作者: UTTER 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 15:36 作者: 打擊 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 20:53 作者: Vasodilation 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 02:32 作者: 截?cái)?nbsp; 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 06:58
Kalkulation (Kostentr?gerstückrechnung)oncerns a new class of stochastic models describing the evolution of preferences, and the other some probabilistic models for approval voting. After recalling various commonly used preference relations, we discuss the fundamental property of ‘wellgradedness’ which is satisfied by certain important f作者: BANAL 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 10:41
Bereichsbezogene Deckungsbeitragsrechnungs. The idea that individuals make choices by rationally weighing values and uncertainties (or that they ought to, or at least act as if they do) is central to Bayesian methods of statistical inference and decision analysis; the theory of games of strategy; theories of competitive markets, industrial作者: 犬儒主義者 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 14:09
Bereichs- und Betriebserfolgsrechnungal decision making under uncertainty is shaped by the simplicity of application of various heuristics. In particular, we consider the representativeness heuristic, which figured prominently in earlier empirical results. We study two sets of data from two experiments conducted recently at the Univers作者: 同來核對(duì) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 16:21
A Positive Value of Information for a Non-Bayesian Decision-Maker one is standard in economics while the former cannot be defined when there is only one prior. In this paper, we provide a coherent defmition of “revising” information structure. We show that we get a positive value of information. A partial order for those revision information structures is also proposed.作者: 奇怪 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 23:34 作者: 減弱不好 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 23:59
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-4592-4Attribut; arbitrage; decision making; decision theory; game theory; modeling; risk theory; strategy; utility作者: characteristic 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 04:48 作者: 下邊深陷 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 11:35 作者: 供過于求 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 14:19
Risk and Uncertainty Aversion on Certainty Equivalent Functionsed for all pairs of lotteries of this kind if and only if the von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function is concave. Moreover, the EU model does not imply that a randomization of lotteries matters (for instance, according to the EU model, a lottery whose consequences are a randomization of the outcome作者: 增強(qiáng) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 16:38 作者: Vital-Signs 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 22:17
Do We Really Need Numerous Observations to Select Candidates? (The d-Day Theorem)iewpoint, any individual’s ability to produce, whatever the organization activity, is depending on outside factors which stochastically twist this genuine ability, such as mood, illness or worries... Hence, the principal can be considered as unable to deterministically focus on the best candidate fo作者: glisten 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 04:33 作者: Judicious 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 09:06
Changing Decision Rulesrepresentativeness heuristic influences their tendency to use it. This is evidence for a long-held view in the bounded rationality literature that — other things constant — individuals tend to use heuristics which are more readily available to them.
