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標(biāo)題: Titlebook: Apocalypse When?; Calculating How Long Willard Wells Book 2009 Praxis 2009 End of the World.Eschatology book.Human Survivability.Random var [打印本頁(yè)]

作者: CHORD    時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 19:36
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作者: heterodox    時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 20:39
Double jeopardy, asteroid is just as likely to strike one year as another, its risk gauge runs at a constant rate; in other words it is a clock. For man-made risks, the virtual gauge is some imprecise measure of modern hazardous activity. It indicates serious danger due to our extreme inexperience—only a half centu
作者: objection    時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 04:16
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-6271-2aching some essential singularity [an abnormal mathematical point] in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue.” Another math professor, Vernor Vinge, well known for his science fiction, picked up the concept. He began lecturing about the . during the 1
作者: Vertical    時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 08:10

作者: 細(xì)頸瓶    時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 10:28
John Schmeelk,Djurdjica Taka?i,Arpad Taka?iLet us begin by examining the most basic formula for an entity’s survival. The equation gives its decreasing probability of survival starting at birth. For a stage production that would be curtain time on opening night. Later we shall adjust that formula to give the entity’s survival probabiliy starting at a later time when it is observed alive.
作者: 態(tài)度暖昧    時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 13:51

作者: 極端的正確性    時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 20:31
Sequences and Series of Functions,We may be the only humanoid species in our galaxy, or we may be one of millions. In any case, let us pretend that a substantial number have come and gone. This lets us use their presumed existence to retain ordinary concepts of statistical ensembles.
作者: 難取悅    時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 00:11

作者: 上坡    時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 01:52
Formulation,Let us begin by examining the most basic formula for an entity’s survival. The equation gives its decreasing probability of survival starting at birth. For a stage production that would be curtain time on opening night. Later we shall adjust that formula to give the entity’s survival probabiliy starting at a later time when it is observed alive.
作者: 有特色    時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 08:46
Confirmation,Figure 6 shows a logic diagram that traces our progress so far and what to expect in Chapter 2. A continuation of this diagram, Figure 18 in Chapter 3, will complete the logic for predicting human survival.
作者: antiandrogen    時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 10:26

作者: 搖晃    時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 14:27
Apocalypse how?,The probability of humankind’s long-term survival is encouragingly high, roughly 70%. This implies survival long enough to colonize the solar system and perhaps the galaxy either with . or some sort of conscious artificial creatures that we regard as our intellectual descendants (cyborgs, androids, whatever).
作者: 使殘廢    時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 19:15

作者: 舉止粗野的人    時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 22:33

作者: deficiency    時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 04:18

作者: indignant    時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 07:49
Book 2009ions that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. Wells’ carefully erected theory stands on a sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids
作者: Terrace    時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 13:31

作者: 類型    時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 15:51

作者: neologism    時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 19:57
Introduction,ontinue.” Another math professor, Vernor Vinge, well known for his science fiction, picked up the concept. He began lecturing about the . during the 1980s and published a paper about the concept in 1993 [1].
作者: 使虛弱    時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 02:03
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-3971-8ry of coping, in contrast with 2,000 centuries of exposure to natural hazards. We must balance the two measures of risk exposure, the old one that says we are safe against the new one that warns of danger.
作者: 盡責(zé)    時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 06:47
Double jeopardy,ry of coping, in contrast with 2,000 centuries of exposure to natural hazards. We must balance the two measures of risk exposure, the old one that says we are safe against the new one that warns of danger.
作者: dry-eye    時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 11:12

作者: Intend    時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 13:10
Book 2009 third, more abstract, invokes Laplace’s principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer’s random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory...The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his princip
作者: 討好女人    時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 16:24
Development of a Combined Crop and Climate Forecasting System for Seasonal to Decadal Predictions,e such forecasts by using the output from a climate model as input to a crop simulation model. This modeling approach presents a number of challenges that will affect the skill of prediction of the crop forecast. Perhaps the most important of these is: at what scale (both spatial and temporal) shoul
作者: 排出    時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 22:36
Non-Marine Molluscs of Great Nicobar Biosphere Reserve, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India Andaman and Nicobar Islands of India based on the survey conducted as part of the Nicobar Expedition by ZSI and published information from the Great Nicobar. A total of 90 species have been recorded and listed, of which 64 are land molluscs which belong to the 18 families, 16 subfamilies and 34 gen
作者: Ischemia    時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 03:45

作者: Vaginismus    時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 07:44

作者: 包裹    時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 08:44
Book 2023tuning-free tensor decomposition algorithms, which achieve state-of-the-art performances in many applications, including.blind source separation;.social network mining;.image and video processing;.array signal processing; and,.wireless communications..The book begins with an introduction to the gene
作者: 啜泣    時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 13:02
Verfügbare Therapiemanuale und ihre Wirksamkeitierigkeiten st??t, zeigen sich dennoch bei einzelnen St?rungsbildern gute Ergebnisse (z.?B. Rückenschmerz, Arthritis). Erwiesenerma?en sind dabei psychoedukative Informationen über zentrale neurobiologische Schmerzverarbeitung effektiver als die pathologieorientierte Darstellung von z.?B. muskuloskelettalen Strukturen.
作者: allergen    時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 19:46

作者: excursion    時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 21:52

作者: Resection    時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 02:19

作者: Semblance    時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 06:02

作者: deceive    時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 12:31
Georg Friedrich H?ndel es: die klimperei wolle man nicht mehr h?ren, musikalische H?user seien fortan zu vermeiden, und so weiter! Es fiel ihm schwer aufs Herz; nach dem erzürnten Gesicht der Eltern mu?te er sich schuldig fühlen, und wu?te doch nicht wie. Für den Augenblick war es ihm wohl, als dürfe er sogar den Musikan
作者: 先行    時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 14:16

作者: 嘲弄    時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 18:30

作者: Fermentation    時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 01:34
Torsten Tomczak,Sven Reinecke,Alfred Kussnting a more general concept. The outlier-model on the other hand may point out potential areas of interest to the user. Preliminary experiments indicate that the two models in fact have lower complexity and sometimes even offer superior performance.




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