標(biāo)題: Titlebook: An Econometric Model of the US Economy; Structural Analysis John J. Heim Book 2017 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017 en [打印本頁(yè)] 作者: Magnanimous 時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 18:28
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書(shū)目名稱(chēng)An Econometric Model of the US Economy讀者反饋學(xué)科排名
作者: 摻和 時(shí)間: 2025-3-21 22:05
t. This comprehensive demonstration of the value of a long-ignored model provides overwhelming evidence that the more Keynesian (Cowles) structural models outperform VAR and DSGE, and therefore should be the models of choice in future macroeconomic studies. ? ??.978-3-319-84460-2978-3-319-50681-4作者: In-Situ 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 03:30 作者: Arresting 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 06:09 作者: Substitution 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 11:40
Literature Review-scale models of the economy: Klein and Evans (.. Philadelphia: Wharton School of Finance and Commerce, University of Pennsylvania, 1968), Eckstein (.. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1983), The Federal Reserve (1996), and Fair (.. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2004).作者: bisphosphonate 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 12:57
The Consumption Modelses. Key determinants were found to be disposable income, “crowd out” due to government deficits (which reduces consumer borrowing), interest rates, wealth, population growth, past savings, and access to borrowing. Other models developed and tested include consumption of imports, durable goods, nondu作者: 把…比做 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 18:57 作者: 粗鄙的人 時(shí)間: 2025-3-22 22:57
The Savings Functionsodels are developed and tested for each. The principal determinants of corporate saving were found to be the accelerator and “crowd out,” both of which negatively impacted corporate savings. Depreciation savings was found to be almost totally explained by prior years’ investment levels. Personal sav作者: 因無(wú)茶而冷淡 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 04:31 作者: COMA 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 05:46
Converting the Older Keynesian IS-LM Model To The More Modern AS-AD Interpretation Of The Keynesian some IS-LM. We simply rephrase the equation to read V = (P/M)Y, substitute in the GDP equation determinants and their coefficients given in Chapter 8. Once done, the model easily shows that fiscal policy stimulates velocity (if no crowd out variable is included in the model), or leave velocity the s作者: neoplasm 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 12:48
Die Zukunft der BürgergesellschaftExports are found to be mainly a function of our trading partner’s incomes, the exchange rate, the level of imports (providing cash to buy our exports), the prime interest rate, and inflation.作者: 鞠躬 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 16:21 作者: 抗生素 時(shí)間: 2025-3-23 21:46
Bernd Guggenberger,Klaus HansenThis chapter takes consumption and investment equations from Chapters 4–6 and uses their coefficients to calculate the Keynesian “IS” curve. This chapter model fits several decades of data well, and better than the Chapter 7 model.作者: 吸引力 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 01:52 作者: Bereavement 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 06:14
Auf der Suche nach der neuen MitteThis model, which involves testing interest rate fluctuations as a function of income and the money supply, proved results which were markedly inferior to the Taylor rule method for explaining variation in the prime interest rate.作者: GREG 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 06:44 作者: ANA 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 13:43 作者: Halfhearted 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 15:00 作者: 優(yōu)雅 時(shí)間: 2025-3-24 20:42
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-38925-3Tests were undertaken of how well the GDP, consumption, and investment models described conditions during the decade after the models had been developed. As a percent of GDP, the average error of estimate was 0.5% for GDP and consumption, 1.5% for exports, and 3.4% for investment.作者: 大猩猩 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 01:38
Die Toiletteseifen und ihre Parfumierung,This chapter briefly shows how the Cowles model developed in earlier chapters can be used to simulate the additional, declining effects of a shock over several time periods beyond the current period.作者: 使絕緣 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 04:53 作者: Flawless 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 07:44 作者: 破布 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 14:55
Real GDP Determination Function ( “IS” Curve) Coefficients Aggregated from Parameter Estimates ObtaiThis chapter takes consumption and investment equations from Chapters 4–6 and uses their coefficients to calculate the Keynesian “IS” curve. This chapter model fits several decades of data well, and better than the Chapter 7 model.作者: 牽索 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 19:47
MethodologyThis chapter develops a model which obtains a very good fit to the data for the past 50 years when using just the Taylor rule variables (unemployment and inflation). It tests to see if government deficits, by causing crowd out, raise interest rates, and whether the money supply has an effect on interest rates.作者: engrossed 時(shí)間: 2025-3-25 20:48 作者: Needlework 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 01:36 作者: 匍匐 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 07:31 作者: 祖先 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 10:29
Determinants of Government ReceiptsA model of savings was developed and tested; the three key variables found to affect government receipts were income, unemployment, and inflation levels.作者: NOMAD 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 13:49
Capacity Of The Model To Explain Behavior Of The Macroeconomy Beyond The Period Used To Estimate TheTests were undertaken of how well the GDP, consumption, and investment models described conditions during the decade after the models had been developed. As a percent of GDP, the average error of estimate was 0.5% for GDP and consumption, 1.5% for exports, and 3.4% for investment.作者: 繁榮地區(qū) 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 19:56 作者: cylinder 時(shí)間: 2025-3-26 23:31
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50681-4engineering manual; engineering; endogenous variables; hausman; wald; sargan; Taylor rule; LM curve; Phillip作者: 說(shuō)不出 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 01:19
978-3-319-84460-2The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017作者: 愚蠢人 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 06:41
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-531-92616-2AR models that other economists have discovered, and discusses why science (empirical testing) is a better tool for finding out what works than deductions from philosophy (theory). It also summarizes a large number of ways the model improves on past studies. This part also provides a 14-page summary作者: Lethargic 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 11:44
,Grundlegende überlegungen — Die Hypothesen,models. The chapter notes models use are OLS or 2SLS as appropriate, that the models control for stationarity, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity, and that they are successful in partially control for multicollinearity. The second part of this chapter undertakes an elaborate set of statistical test作者: Lumbar-Spine 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 15:37
,Grundlegende überlegungen — Die Hypothesen,-scale models of the economy: Klein and Evans (.. Philadelphia: Wharton School of Finance and Commerce, University of Pennsylvania, 1968), Eckstein (.. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1983), The Federal Reserve (1996), and Fair (.. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2004).作者: colostrum 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 19:48
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-26146-0es. Key determinants were found to be disposable income, “crowd out” due to government deficits (which reduces consumer borrowing), interest rates, wealth, population growth, past savings, and access to borrowing. Other models developed and tested include consumption of imports, durable goods, nondu作者: Esalate 時(shí)間: 2025-3-27 23:47
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-26146-0d transfers spending in total, and a separate goods and services only model. Results indicated that the total spending model was driven by the unemployment rate (transfer spending), the Reagan and Iraq military build ups, and the deep recession of 2009. Goods and services spending, by comparison was作者: 注意到 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 03:00 作者: 直覺(jué)沒(méi)有 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 06:34 作者: fender 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 13:04
Einkaufsprozesse in der Modebranche,some IS-LM. We simply rephrase the equation to read V = (P/M)Y, substitute in the GDP equation determinants and their coefficients given in Chapter 8. Once done, the model easily shows that fiscal policy stimulates velocity (if no crowd out variable is included in the model), or leave velocity the s作者: progestogen 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 16:55
,Grundlegende überlegungen — Die Hypothesen,-scale models of the economy: Klein and Evans (.. Philadelphia: Wharton School of Finance and Commerce, University of Pennsylvania, 1968), Eckstein (.. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1983), The Federal Reserve (1996), and Fair (.. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2004).作者: 通情達(dá)理 時(shí)間: 2025-3-28 20:31
John J. HeimConnects behavioral equations into a comprehensive model of the real US economy.Includes comprehensive comparisons of results from older Cowles model and newer VAR and DSGE models.Features 75 variable作者: 變形詞 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 02:05 作者: 喪失 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 05:58
Literature Review-scale models of the economy: Klein and Evans (.. Philadelphia: Wharton School of Finance and Commerce, University of Pennsylvania, 1968), Eckstein (.. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1983), The Federal Reserve (1996), and Fair (.. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2004).作者: 大暴雨 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 09:26 作者: parasite 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 13:01 作者: Cumulus 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 17:32 作者: faultfinder 時(shí)間: 2025-3-29 22:32 作者: 誘拐 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 01:24 作者: 箴言 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 05:41
Der Management-Investitionsfonds (MIF)yment rate (transfer spending), the Reagan and Iraq military build ups, and the deep recession of 2009. Goods and services spending, by comparison was more driven by GDP growth, population size growth, and the same shocks as previously noted.作者: 友好關(guān)系 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 11:40
Einkaufsprozesse in der Modebranche, Once done, the model easily shows that fiscal policy stimulates velocity (if no crowd out variable is included in the model), or leave velocity the same or lower (in crowd out is included). Monetary policy effects, as given in textbook Keynesian models, are also easily shown using Fischer’s curve and holding price and velocity constant.作者: Mindfulness 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 13:47
Introduction,ions from philosophy (theory). It also summarizes a large number of ways the model improves on past studies. This part also provides a 14-page summary listing of the statistical models and their test results.作者: landmark 時(shí)間: 2025-3-30 18:03
Methodologyd that they are successful in partially control for multicollinearity. The second part of this chapter undertakes an elaborate set of statistical tests to determine whether DSGE, VAR, or Cowles Commission models better explain how the economy actually works in the decade ..作者: AMEND 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 00:09 作者: 懸掛 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 01:36
Endogeneity of Government Spending Levelsyment rate (transfer spending), the Reagan and Iraq military build ups, and the deep recession of 2009. Goods and services spending, by comparison was more driven by GDP growth, population size growth, and the same shocks as previously noted.作者: Germinate 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 07:09 作者: Statins 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 09:41
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-13859-2onfidence levels, and inflation. In addition, the Katrina Hurricane caused affected people to draw down savings markedly. Stability of the three savings models findings was tested in different time periods and adding different variables to the model.作者: 啞劇 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 15:15 作者: gonioscopy 時(shí)間: 2025-3-31 20:56
Book 2017ver the vector autoregression (VAR) and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models used almost exclusively today. Heim presents a robust argument in favor of the Cowles model as an answer to the pressing, unresolved methodological question of how to accurately model the macroeconomy so tha作者: Employee 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 01:44
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-26146-0rables, consumption of services, and one model describing what determines the level of consumer borrowing. Initial findings are tested exhaustively to ensure they hold up when testing other time periods or when other variables are included in the model. This is how the book ensures its results represent good science.作者: OASIS 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 03:41
tion technique. The differences of the CCSEM systems including their operating conditions only play a minor role to account for the discrepancy of CCSEM measurements, as different laboratories gave similar CCSEM results on the same coal sample stub. The performance indices related to ash deposition 作者: INTER 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 09:02 作者: 漂浮 時(shí)間: 2025-4-1 10:16
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-29545-5an activities, and expressed as a long-term reduction or loss in biological productivity, ecological integrity, or value to humans. Land degradation is caused by the processes related to soil degradation (including soil erosion, salinization, and soil fertility loss) and ecosystem degradation (inclu
